مشخصات پژوهش

صفحه نخست /Robust Bayesian Small Area ...
عنوان Robust Bayesian Small Area Estimation Using ‎the ‎sub-Gaussian α-Stable Distribution for Measurement Error ‎in Covariate
نوع پژوهش مقاله چاپ‌شده در مجلات علمی
کلیدواژه‌ها Small area estimation‎, ‎Bayesian modelling‎, ‎Stable distribution‎, ‎Area-level model‎, ‎Measurement Error‎.
چکیده In small area estimation, ‎the sample size is so small that direct estimators have seldom enough adequate precision‎. ‎Therefore‎, ‎it is common to use auxiliary data via covariates and produce estimators that combine them with direct data‎. ‎Nevertheless‎, it is not uncommon for covariates to be measured with error‎, ‎leading to inconsistent estimators‎. ‎Area-level models accounting for measurement error (ME) in covariates have been proposed and they usually assume that the errors are an i.i.d‎. Gaussian model‎. ‎However‎, ‎there might be situations in which this assumption is violated especially when covariates present severe outlying values that cannot be cached by the Gaussian distribution. ‎To overcome this problem‎, ‎we propose to model the ME through sub-Gaussian α-Stable (SGαS) distribution‎, ‎a flexible distribution that accommodates different types of outlying observations and ‎also ‎Gaussian data as a special case when α=2‎. ‎ The SGαS distribution is a generalisation of the Gaussian distribution that allows for skewness and heavy tails by adding an extra parameter, α∈ (0,2], to control tail behaviour. ‎The model parameters are estimated in a fully Bayesian framework‎. The performance of the proposal is illustrated by applying to real data and some simulation studies‎.
پژوهشگران سرنا آریما (نفر اول)، شاهو زارعی (نفر دوم)