مشخصات پژوهش

عنوان	The Effects of Openness and Globalization on Inflation: An ARDL Bounds Test Approach
نوع پژوهش	مقاله چاپ‌شده در مجلات علمی
کلیدواژه‌ها	Openness;Economic Globalization;Inflation; Iran.
چکیده	The purpose of this paper is to test the hypothesis first documented by Romer (1993);that inflation is lower in more open economies. According to this hypothesis, central banks have a smaller incentive to engineer surprise inflations in more-open economies because the Phillips curve is steeper. Furthermore, Comparing with other empirical studies, this paper has estimated the relationship between economic globalizationas one dimension of the new KOF globalization index and inflation. We utilized the ARDL Bounds test approach to level relationship proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) for Iranian annual data during 1970-2009. The results from Bounds test approach confirm the existence of the long-run relationship among the variables for both spesification. The results show that openness has a negative and significant effect on inflation in short-run but its effect on inflation in long-run is positive. Globalization has a negative and significant effect on inflation in short-run and long-run. Thus, it seems that the new economic globalization (KOF index) which is a broader comprehensive index is a better proxy of openness.
پژوهشگران	سامان قادری (نفر دوم)، بهرام سنگین آبادی (نفر سوم)، احمد جعفری صمیمی (نفر اول)