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Title Trend analysis of rainfall pattern over the Central India during 1901–2010
Type JournalPaper
Keywords Trend . Rainfall . Mann-Kendall test . Sen’s slope estimator . Innovative trend method (ITM) . Central India
Abstract In the present study, trends of rainfall of the Central India were evaluated in monthly, seasonal, and annual time scales using the Revised Mann-Kendall (RMK) test, Sen’s slope estimator, and innovative trend method (ITM). For this purpose, the monthly rainfall data for 20 stations in Madhya Pradesh (MP) and Chhattisgarh (CG) states in Central India during 1901–2010 was used. The Sen’s slope estimator was utilized for calculating the slope of rainfall trend line. Based on the obtained results of RMK test, there is no significant trend in the stations for the January and October months. The results also showed that for MP, two out of 15 considered stations indicate significant annual trend, while the CG has four out of five stations with significant trend. The results of applying ITMtest indicated that most of the stations have decreasing trends in annual (16 stations), summer (16 stations), and monsoon (11 stations) seasons, while the winter (12 stations) and post monsoon (11 stations) seasons generally show increasing trend. Unlike the RMK, the ITM shows significant increasing trend in rainfall of November and December months. The finding of current study can be used for irrigation and water resource management purpose over the Central India.
Researchers Sarita Gajbhiye Meshram (Fourth Researcher), Rasoul Mirabbasi Najaf Abadi (Third Researcher), Ozgur Kisi (Second Researcher), Hadi Sanikhani (First Researcher)