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Mohammad Darand

Mohammad Darand

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 26664517400
Faculty: Faculty of Natural Resources
Address: سنندج، دانشگاه کردستان، دانشکده منابع طبیعی، گروه آب و هواشناسی
Phone: 08736620551

Research

Title
Identifying drought- and flood-prone areas based on significant changes in daily precipitation over Iran
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Extreme precipitation events Flood-prone areas Drought-prone areas Mann–Kendall test Iran ETCCDI & Mo
Year
2018
Journal Natural Hazards
DOI
Researchers Mohammad Darand ، Mohammad Mehdi Sohrabi

Abstract

Variations in frequency and intensity of extreme events have substantial impact on water resources and environment, which in turn are reflected on agriculture, society, and economy. We assessed spatiotemporal changes in pattern of daily precipitation to identify drought- and flood-prone areas of Iran. To do this, we generated gridded daily precipitation for the period of 1962–2013 over Iran using measured daily precipitation and the Kriging approach. We applied 11 precipitation indices that were stated by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) to identify significant changes in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. According to significant changes of these 11 precipitation indices, drought- and flood-prone areas of Iran were, then, detected. We observed significant changes in pattern of daily precipitation over more than half of the country. 40% of the country, which were located in the elevated regions of Iran, particularly along Zagros Mountain, was identified as flood-prone areas. As a result, in these regions, there is a need for flood risk management based on changes in stormwater events such as runoff generated from rain on snow and snowmelt events. In addition, we detected drought-prone areas in large portion of the northwest of Iran and in the low elevated regions of the country that have semiarid or arid climate. This suggests that it is necessary to prepare a long-term drought plan to mitigate impacts of severe drought events.