2024 : 5 : 2
Mohammad Darand

Mohammad Darand

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 26664517400
Faculty: Faculty of Natural Resources
Address: سنندج، دانشگاه کردستان، دانشکده منابع طبیعی، گروه آب و هواشناسی
Phone: 08736620551

Research

Title
Forecasting precipitation with Artificial Neural Networks (case study: Tehran)
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Rainfall, Genetic Algorithm, ANN, Forecasting, Climatology
Year
2009
Journal Journal of applied sciences
DOI
Researchers Mohammad hosayn Gholizadeh ، Mohammad Darand

Abstract

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), which emulate the parallel distributed processing of the human nervous system, have proven to be very successful in dealing with complicated problems, such as function approximation and pattern recognition. Rainfall forecasting has been a difficult subject due to the complexity of the physical processes involved and the variability of rainfall in space and time. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), which perform a nonlinear mapping between inputs and outputs, are one of the techniques that are suitable for rainfall forecasting. Multiple perceptron neural networks were trained with actual monthly precipitation data from Tehran station for a time period of 53 years. Predicted amounts are of next-month-precipitation in the next year. The ANN models provided a good fit with the actual data and have shown a high feasibility in prediction of month rainfall precipitation. Combination neural networks with Genetic algorithm showed better results.