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Hadi Sanikhani

Hadi Sanikhani

Academic rank: Associate Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 54927038000
HIndex:
Faculty: Faculty of Agriculture
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Phone:

Research

Title
Integrative stochastic model standardization with genetic algorithm for rainfall pattern forecasting in tropical and semi-arid environments
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
genetic algorithm, stationarization, stochastic model, periodic term, rainfall forecasting
Year
2020
Journal HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
DOI
Researchers Sinan Q. Salih ، Ahmad Sharafati ، Isa Ebtehaj ، Hadi Sanikhani ، Ridwan Siddique ، Ravinesh C. Deo ، Hossein Bonakdari ، Shamsuddin Shahid ، Zaher Mundher Yaseen

Abstract

Climate patterns, including rainfall prediction, is one of the most complex problems for hydrologist. It is inherited by its natural and stochastic phenomena. In this study, a new approach for rainfall time series forecasting is introduced based on the integration of three stochastic modelling methods, including the seasonal differencing, seasonal standardization and spectral analysis, associated with the genetic algorithm (GA). This approach is specially tailored to eradicate the periodic pattern effects notable on the rainfall time series stationarity behaviour. Two different climates are selected to evaluate the proposed methodology, in tropical and semi-arid regions (Malaysia and Iraq). The results show that the predictive model registered an acceptable result for the forecasting of rainfall for both the investigated regions. The attained determination coefficient (R2) for the investigated stations was approx. 0.91, 0.90 and 0.089 for Mosul, Baghdad and Basrah (Iraq), and 0.80, 0.87 and 0.94 for Selangor, Negeri Sembilan and Johor (Malaysia).