2025/12/5
Shiva Gharibi

Shiva Gharibi

Academic rank: Assistant Professor
ORCID: 0000-0002-1877-1204
Education: PhD.
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Faculty: Faculty of Natural Resources
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E-mail: shiva.gharibi [at] uok.ac.ir
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Research

Title
Prediction of soil erosion control ecosystem service using machine learning based on the ANN model in Asia
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Regulating ES, Modeling, Climate change, Soil erosion
Year
2025
Journal Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
DOI
Researchers Jamil Amanollahi ، Shiva Gharibi ، Arman Rastkhadiv

Abstract

The impact of climate change on soil erosion control is one of the main consequences of climate change on ecosystem services, as it increases the risk of soil erosion. Soil erosion control is a critical ecosystem service that plays a key role in regulating agricultural sustainability, preventing land degradation, and ensuring food security. However, it is highly influenced by climatic and environmental changes. This study aims to predict the effects of climatic and environmental variables on soil erosion control ecosystem services using an artificial neural network model in Asia. Two datasets were collected: soil erosion control data derived from satellite imagery and climatic and environmental variables, including DEM, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Slope, Air Temperature, Land Surface Temperature, Soil Moisture, Temperature Condition Index, Vegetation Condition Index, Vegetation Health Index, and Precipitation. The findings showed that the R2 for the prediction model is 0.98, suggesting that artificial neural networks can predict 98 % of the variations in soil erosion control ecosystem service based on climatic and environmental variables. Sensitivity Analysis results revealed that soil moisture (at 70 cm depth) and vegetation health index significantly influence the model. This approach can highlight the potential of Machine Learning Algorithms for predicting various Ecosystem Services and acts as a future research blueprint. Its practical implications support the development of sustainable land management strategies in Asia.