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Saman Ghaderi

Saman Ghaderi

Academic rank: Assistant Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 456445
Faculty: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
Address: Department of Economics, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, Iran.
Phone:

Research

Title
Commodity prices and inflation: an application of structural VAR
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Commodity prices, Inflation, Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Model, Iran
Year
2023
Journal Applied Economics
DOI
Researchers Mahdi Shahrazi ، Saman Ghaderi ، Bahram Sanginabadi

Abstract

The potential influence of global commodity prices on consumer price inflation has been a concern of researchers and policymakers for decades. Even though a body of literature has investigated such connections, the results are mixed. This study uses a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to investigate the impact of global commodity prices on Iran's inflation over the 2009:1-2018:11 period. We have included commodity price, exchange rate, and stock returns as explanatory variables in our model. Based on the findings of our long-run multiplier matrix the response of inflation to the commodity price shocks is positive and statistically significant. In other words, global commodity prices increase Iranian inflation. Also, the results suggest that the explanatory power of commodity price shocks in inflation fluctuations is higher than those of exchange rate and stock returns in the long run.