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Jamil Amanollahi

Jamil Amanollahi

Academic rank: Associate Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 37017276500
Faculty: Faculty of Natural Resources
Address: Department of Environment Science, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Kurdistan, Iran
Phone: داخلی3219

Research

Title
Validation of linear, nonlinear and hybrid models for predicting particulate matter concentration in Tehran, Iran
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
PM10 concentration, ANFIS, MLP Training phase, Testing phase, Prediction
Year
2020
Journal THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
DOI
Researchers Jamil Amanollahi ، Shadi Ausati

Abstract

Information on particulate matter forecast is significant as it allows residents to manage its undesirable effects. For the purpose of predicting PM10 concentration in the air of Tehran various models were used, including (i) a linear model (multiple liner regression, MLR), (ii) two hybrid models (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, ANFIS as well as ensemble empirical mode decomposition and general regression neural network, EEMD-GRNN), and (iii) a nonlinear model (multi-layer perceptron, MLP). The output variable in these models was the measure of suspended particles of PM10 while the predictor variables were the information on air quality which consisted of CO, NO2, O3, PM10 of the previous day, PM2.5, and SO2 as well as meteorological data which included average atmospheric pressure (AP), average maximum temperature (Max T), average minimum temperature (Min T), daily relative humidity level of the air (RH), daily total precipitation (TP), and daily wind speed (WS) for the year 2016 in Tehran. Analysis of the data revealed that in comparison with the results of MLR and MLP ANFIS obtained the most accurate output (R2=0.97, root mean square error (RMSE)=1.0713 and mean absolute error (MAE)=0.6111) for the training phase and (R2=0.89, RMSE=3.6165 and MAE=2.8993) the testing phase. However, the hybrid models which were used in the current study had almost similar prediction results. As it can be concluded, in comparison with linear and nonlinear models, hybrid models turn out to have higher accuracy in predicting PM10 concentration.