2026/1/29
Hossein Bevrani

Hossein Bevrani

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID: 0000-0003-4658-9095
Education: PhD.
H-Index: 0
Faculty: Faculty of Science
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E-mail: hossein.Bevrani [at] uok.ac.ir
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Research

Title
Bayesian Bell Regression Model for Fitting of Overdispersed Count Data with Application
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Bayesian estimation; Bell regression model; G-prior distribution; log-marginal pseudo-likelihood; deviance information criterion
Year
2025
Journal ُStats
DOI
Researchers Ameer Musa Imran Al-Hseeni ، Hossein Bevrani

Abstract

The Bell regression model (BRM) is a statistical model that is often used in the analysis of count data that exhibits overdispersion. In this study, we propose a Bayesian analysis of the BRM and offer a new perspective on its application. Specifically, we introduce a G-prior distribution for Bayesian inference in BRM, in addition to a flat-normal prior distribution. To compare the performance of the proposed prior distributions, we conduct a simulation study and demonstrate that the G-prior distribution provides superior estimation results for the BRM. Furthermore, we apply the methodology to real data and compare the BRM to the Poisson and negative binomial regression model using various model selection criteria. Our results provide valuable insights into the use of Bayesian methods for estimation and inference of the BRM and highlight the importance of considering the choice of prior distribution in the analysis of count data.