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Hiwa Farughi

Hiwa Farughi

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID: 0000-0001-9745-9691
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 54789623500
Faculty: Faculty of Engineering
Address:
Phone: 08733660073

Research

Title
Availability Prediction of the Repairable Equipment using Artificial Neural Network and Time Series Models
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Availability, prediction, artificial neural network, exponentially weighted moving average, time series model.
Year
2018
Journal International Journal of Industrial Engineering and Productional Research
DOI
Researchers Hiwa Farughi ، Ahmad Hakimi ، Reza Kamranrad

Abstract

In this paper, one of the most important criterion in public services quality named availability is evaluated by using artificial neural network (ANN). In addition, the availability values are predicted for future periods by using exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) scheme and some time series models (TSM) including autoregressive (AR), moving average (MA) and autoregressive moving average (ARMA). Results based on comparative studies between four methods based on ANN and by considering the several conditions for the effective parameters in ANN show that, the generalized regression method is the best method for predicting the availability. Furthermore, results of the EWMA and three mentioned TSM are also show the better performance of MA model for predicting the availability values in future periods.