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Azad Yazdani

Azad Yazdani

Academic rank: Professor
ORCID:
Education: PhD.
ScopusId: 7004218797
Faculty: Faculty of Engineering
Address:
Phone: +98-87-33668457

Research

Title
Earthquake ground-motion prediction equations for northern Iran
Type
JournalPaper
Keywords
Ground-motion, Prediction equation, Bayesian, Finite-fault, Recorded data, Iran
Year
2013
Journal Natural Hazards
DOI
Researchers Azad Yazdani ، Milad Kowsari

Abstract

Earthquake ground-motion relations for soil and rock sites in northern Iran have been developed based on stochastic models and Bayesian updating. Due to a lack of recorded data, the well-known simulation methodology, finite-fault model, including estimates of the inherent uncertainty of ground-motion parameters, has been used for generating more than one thousand strong motions as input data. The Bayesian approach will be an effective approach that allows the combination of knowledge of seismological theory with recorded data. Estimation of the prior information is one of the most controversial issues in a Bayesian approach. In this study, generated data based on the stochastic simulation model is first used to derive the prior coefficient of earthquake ground-motion relations. The prior coefficients are updated within the Bayesian approach framework by using the recorded ground motion in northern Iran. The residual plots show that the updated prediction equations agree well with available northern Iran ground-motion data. Additionally, the proposed prediction equation is validated by comparing the estimated ground-motion with those of recorded data at the observed stations.